Yemen’s internationally recognised government said it struck Houthi-controlled Sanaa airport on Monday, its biggest flare-up in years with the rebels, who blamed Saudi Arabia for the attack and threatened retaliation.
The government said it had wanted to prevent an Iranian plane from landing in the capital, after failing to convince a Houthi delegation that went to Tehran for the late Iranian supreme leader’s funeral to board a Yemenia flight instead.
Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree accused Saudi Arabia of “ending the de-escalation phase” and warned that “this aggression will not go unanswered or unpunished”.
The latest escalation threatens to unravel a truce that has been holding since 2022 despite expiring, and comes at a time of heightened tensions as the United States and Iran trade attacks impacting the Gulf and traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.
Yemen’s defence ministry accused the Houthis of “allowing an Iranian plane to violate Yemeni territory; consequently, the airport runway was targeted”.
Following the strikes, the head of Yemen’s Presidential Leadership Council, Rashad al-Alimi, said he had “ordered that the scope of the confrontation not be expanded”.
Truce ‘collapse’?
Mohammed al-Basha of the US-based risk advisory Basha Report told AFP there was a risk of the 2022 ceasefire failing.
“If this cycle of action and retaliation continues, it could effectively mark the collapse of the April 2022 ceasefire framework and signal a return to a much more intense phase of the conflict,” he said.
“The coming days will likely show whether both sides are prepared to move back toward sustained military escalation and ground war,” he noted, adding that the next move of the plane, which the rebels said had landed, will likely determine how things will go.
For more than a decade, aircraft entering Yemeni airspace have needed prior clearance from the Saudi-led coalition, which says it enforces the restriction at the Yemeni government’s request.
The Houthis appeared to have challenged this arrangement by organising direct flights from Iran to Sanaa. The government briefly ordered all airports in the country shut on Monday.
Tensions had been rising for days, after the Houthis accused Saudi Arabia earlier this month of attacking an Iranian plane that landed in Sanaa and took off carrying the delegation. The rebels had threatened at the time to hit Saudi airports and vital assets should Riyadh violate its airspace or attempt to attack it again.
Since the Saudi-led coalition entered the war in 2015, it has been the one to conduct air strikes on Houthi targets on the authorities’ behalf.
According to Andreas Krieg, a lecturer in security at King’s College London, it is “technically possible” for the government to have carried out the strike with planes provided by the UAE that would need to travel far from the south.
“It would be a risk as these are not jet aircraft. The jet aircrafts they have from the 1980s are in a bad shape and probably won’t fly far,” he told AFP.
‘End of de-escalation’
The latest strikes raised the spectre of renewed Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia after years of relative calm between the two foes — as well as fears of broader conflict in Yemen.
A 29-year-old homemaker in the Houthi-held city of Hodeida, where rebel media said the plane had landed, said she was worried more conflict lay ahead, “without producing any results, just making the current crises worse”.
The United Nations Special Envoy for Yemen, Hans Grundberg, urged the parties to turn to diplomacy, saying his office has “contacted military representatives from all sides”.
Earlier in the day, the Yemeni government accused the rebels of preventing an International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) aircraft from leaving Sanaa airport and holding the pilot and co-pilot “hostage”.
“All ICRC staff and the crew of the plane are safe and accounted for,” ICRC spokesman for the Middle East Hachem Osseiran told AFP.
The Houthis have been at war with Yemen’s government since 2014, in a conflict that has killed hundreds of thousands of people and triggered a major humanitarian crisis.
The rebels control Yemen’s capital Sanaa and much of the north, including most population centres, while the internationally-recognised government holds much of the south.
